The latest reading of 85 is up 2 from last September’s 83 and at its highest level in the indicator's history, exceeding its December 1998 record. A failure of new listings to improve beyond the current pace could prove to be an obstacle for further sales improvements, given their strong correlation with sales. However, we won’t speculate much about it and would rather focus on the current housing indicators and their recovery from the lows caused by the pandemic. Michigan is 78% during this period. Fannie Mae predicts 40% more mortgage refinances in 2020 than 2019. Or you may need to wait a few months to see things shift from a buyer’s market to a balanced market. In this case, you face a seller’s market as soon as people are allowed to go out shopping. https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/ To afford a typical mortgage payment, a given family needs to spend no more than 25% of income on its mortgage payment (for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage with a 20% down payment). Many experts were predicting that the pandemic could lead to a housing crash worse than the great depression. Under normal market conditions, prices would be expected to skyrocket as inventory declines at a faster rate, but buyer demand is expected to see-saw as the fourth wave of coronavirus pandemic pop-ups in winters. Households spending more than 25% of the income on housing costs are likely to face financial burden or stress. What will 2021 be like for buyers? While all four major U.S. regions recorded notable year-over-year increases, only the Northeast achieved month-over-month gains in pending home sales transactions. However, that may translate to higher costs and delays in receiving building materials, due to high demand, low supply, and 20 percent tariffs on Canadian supply. The vacancy rate is somewhat analogous to the unemployment rate. The good thing, at least for buyers and investors alike, is that house prices have nearly flattened and are poised to remain stable in the latter half of this year. The payment deferral option allows borrowers, who can return to making their normal monthly mortgage payment, the ability to repay their missed payments at the time the home is sold, refinanced, or at maturity. A V-shaped recovery can be seen. Up to 3.4% by year end Existing Home Median Price Appreciation +5.7%. The most recovered markets for home prices include Austin, Pittsburgh, Riverside-San Bernardino, Houston, and New Orleans, with a home price growth index between 111 and 116. The time-on-market index increased to increase, suggesting buyers and sellers are continuing to connect at a faster rate going into the fall. Many buyers need to get into a larger home because they have a growing family. According to a recent survey from Auction.com, 64% of investors who primarily buy investment properties as rentals said they planned to increase or keep their acquisitions, despite the pandemic. As of November 7, the latest weekly housing market trends show that median listing prices continue to grow at 12.9 percent over last year, marking 13 consecutive weeks of double-digit growth in asking prices. In September, none of the largest 50 metros saw an inventory increase on a year-over-year basis and 35 out of 50 saw greater inventory declines than last month. An additional 22% selected 2021, and smaller camps predicted the next recession would arrive the following year, in 2022 or at some unspecified later date. An important step in this direction was the announcement of the payment deferral option for borrowers. The decline came as Americans turned their attention to the 2020 elections. His mission is to help 1 million people create wealth and passive income and put them on the path to financial freedom with real estate. What will 2021 be like for investors? Laguna Niguel, CA 92677, Copyright 2018 Norada Real Estate Investments, https://www.realtor.com/research/june-2020-data/, https://www.realtor.com/research/may-2020-data/, https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/, https://www.realtor.com/research/2020-housing-market-predictions-covid-19-update/, https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fannie-mae-home-sales-will-decline-by-nearly-15-in-2020-due-to-coronavirus-2020-04-15, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/19/coronavirus-update-home-sales-could-fall-by-35percent-as-spring-market-stalls.html, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/15/coronavirus-homebuilder-confidence-takes-biggest-one-month-dive-in-history.html?recirc=taboolainternal, https://www.realtor.com/research/2020-national-housing-forecast/, https://www.statista.com/statistics/226144/us-existing-home-sales/, https://www.marketplace.org/2020/03/24/covid-19-nurses-doctors-licenses-states/, https://www.enterprisebank.com/insights/construction-industry-suppliers-pace-covid19-impact, https://www.constructiondive.com/news/6-ways-the-coronavirus-outbreak-will-affect-construction/574042/, Affordability index (nationally) – Median household income vs median home price, https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/affordability-index.asp, https://ycharts.com/indicators/reports/monthly_housing_affordability_index, https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/metro-home-prices-rise-in-96-of-metro-areas-in-first-quarter-of-2020, Factors affecting the 2020 housing market, https://www.curbed.com/2018/12/17/18144657/construction-homebuilding-housing-costs-renovation-labor, Where Is the Housing Market Headed In 2020, https://www.investopedia.com/investing/next-housing-recession-2020-predicts-zillow/, https://www.forbes.com/sites/alyyale/2019/07/08/housing-market-check-in-6-expert-predictions-for-the-second-half-of-2019/#2e97885a18ba, https://www.daveramsey.com/blog/real-estate-trends, https://www.investopedia.com/personal-finance/how-millennials-are-changing-housing-market, https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product, https://www.businessinsider.com/us-housing-market-sudden-lack-of-consumer-interest-coronavirus, https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/04/16/unemployment-claims-coronavirus/. Sellers continue to be cautious, and further improvement could be constrained by lingering coronavirus concerns and economic uncertainty. Home sales are recovering from the setback of the coronavirus led crisis with fall becoming the peak homebuying season. However, a sustained seller comeback is uncertain — the fear of the rise in coronavirus cases in the winter season is still looming large. The federal government’s shutdown of so-called non-essential businesses put a hold on most real estate transactions. The added competition for these homes due to the moratorium on foreclosures could drive up the prices in the distressed housing market. Before the pandemic hit the nation the supply of new housing was failing to keep up with demand. The West led all regions with the highest qualifying income while the Midwest had the lowest income for 5%, 10%, and 20% down payments on a single-family home. The rate is now 13.3%. Then the backlog of prior foreclosure and eviction cases must be cleared before a wave of new ones can be processed. The overall recovery index is showing the greatest recovery in San Jose, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Rochester, and Boston. Home price growth will flatten, with a forecasted increase of 1.1 percent, Inventory will remain low, but the rate of decline steadies and the mix of homes for sale shifts toward greater availability of lower-priced homes, Mortgage rates remain low and may slide under 3 percent by the end of the year, Home sales are constrained by low inventory and diminished seller and buyer confidence as the effects of COVID linger in the labor market, Buyers seeking affordability and space drive interest in the suburbs. The decrease in government spending was in federal as well as state and local governments. The home price appreciation rate has slowed so far but prices are still rising. With inventory falling to record lows, mortgage lending standards tightening, new and existing home sales are precited to fall back over the remainder of 2020. Sellers returned to the market, as the decline in newly listed properties substantially improved and western and northeastern metros saw more newly listed homes than the same time the previous year. However, hot economies eventually cool and with that, hot housing markets move more towards balance. In Manhattan, however, the median rental price decreased by 3.9% between August 2019 to August 2020, and the vacancy rate has increased by 3.15%. A reduction in even just a quarter of a percentage point could potentially shave off a couple of hundred dollars from your monthly payments. Report shows that the typical house to stay high but taper through 2021, prices have. 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